What is your 95% credible interval for the number of people who will be alive in the year 3000 CE (including digital people)? Explain your reasoning by giving a roughly one-sentence justification for each important step of your reasoning.
A 95% credible interval means that you believe there is a 95% chance that thetrue value will fall within your interval. If I were 95% confident that the number of books in a library was between 100 and 500, then my 95% credible interval would be 100-500.

Answers

Answer 1

Astronomy is written in clear non-technical language, with the occasional touch of humor and a wide range of clarifying illustrations. It has many analogies drawn from everyday life to help non-science majors appreciate, on their own terms, what our modern exploration of the universe is revealing. The book can be used for either a one-semester or two-semester introductory course (bear in mind, you can customize your version and include only those chapters or sections you will be teaching.) It is made available free of charge in electronic form (and low cost in printed form) to students around the world. If you have ever thrown up your hands in despair over the spiraling cost of astronomy textbooks, you owe your students a good look at this one.

Astronomy has information and images from the New Horizons exploration of Pluto, the discovery of gravitational waves, the Rosetta Mission to Comet C-G, and many other recent projects in astronomy. The discussion of exoplanets has been updated with recent information—indicating not just individual examples, but trends in what sorts of planets seem to be most common. Black holes receive their own chapter, and the role of supermassive black holes in active galaxies and galaxy evolution is clearly explained. Chapters have been reviewed by subject-matter experts for accuracy and currency.

Answer 2

The required 95% credible interval for the number of people alive in the year 3000 CE is the true approximate value of different iterations.

Given that,
95% credible interval for the number of people who will be alive in the year 3000 CE (including digital people) is to be explained.

What is Statistic?

Statistic is the study of mathematics that deal with relations between comprehensive data.

Here,
95% credible interval for the number of people who will be alive in the year 3000 CE (including digital people), by going through certain iterations for the 95% credible interval for the number of people alive in the year 3000 CE will give the required interval.

Thus, the required 95% credible interval for the number of people alive in the year 3000 CE is the true approximate value of different iterations.

Learn more about Statistics here:
https://brainly.com/question/23091366

#SPJ2


Related Questions

I need this answered please

Answers

Answer:

The correct answer is 250/3phi m3

Look into the picture

Step-by-step explanation:

PLEASE MARK ME BRAINLIEST IF MY ANSWER IS CORRECT PLEASE

which function is graphed?

Answers

Answer:

The answer is C

Step-by-step explanation:

the left graph end in x<2 and the right one in x≥2

determine whether each of the following sequences are arithmetic, geometric or neither. If arithmetic, state the common difference. If geometric, state the common ratio. -29, -34, -39, -44, -49, ...

Is this: common difference =5?
arithmetic?

Answers

[tex]\qquad\qquad\huge\underline{{\sf Answer}}[/tex]

[tex] \textbf{Let's see if the sequence is Arithmetic :} [/tex]

[tex] \textsf{If the difference between successive terms is } [/tex] [tex] \textsf{equal then, the terms are in AP} [/tex]

[tex] \textsf{-34 - (-29) = -5 } [/tex]

[tex] \textsf{-39 - (-34) = -5 } [/tex]

[tex] \textsf{Since the common difference is same, } [/tex] [tex] \textsf{we can infer that it's an Arithmetic progression} [/tex] [tex] \textsf{with common difference of -5} [/tex]

Sequence: -29, -34, -39, -44, -49, ...

First we need to identify the terms:

1st term = -292nd term = -343rd term =  -394th term = -445th term  = -49

If the sequence is arithmetic, [tex]\boxed{\sf \bold{second \ term = \dfrac{first \ term+third \ term}{2} }}[/tex]

If the sequence is geometric, [tex]\boxed{\sf \bold{second \ term = \sqrt{first \ term \ x \ third \ term} }}[/tex]

=======================================

Check for arithmetic

[tex]\rightarrow \sf -34 = \sf \dfrac{-29 +(-39)}{2}[/tex]

[tex]\rightarrow \sf -34 = \sf \dfrac{-68}{2}[/tex]

[tex]\rightarrow \sf -34 = -34[/tex]       [Hence it's arithmetic series]

To find common difference. we have to think of how to go to next term.

first term: -29

to go the second term, subtract by -5

-29 -5 = -34, second term

-34 - 5 = -39, third term

Hence, common difference: -5

Solutions:

Arithmetic Sequence

Common Difference: -5

Jose wants to walk to the store from his house but he is not sure how far away it is. Find the distance between his house (-8, -9) and the store (-4,-10). Each unit is equal to one
mile.

Answers

Answer:

You need to go 8 squares to the left and then go 9 square down. (-8, -9)

for the second one you need to go 4 squares to the left and 10 squares down. (-4, -10)

The distance between the coordinates of house and store is D = 17 miles, or about 4.12 miles

What is the distance of a line between 2 points?

The distance of a line between 2 points is always positive and given by the formula

Let the first point be A ( x₁ , y₁ ) and the second point be B ( x₂ , y₂ )

The distance between A and B is D , and the distance D is

Distance D = √ ( x₂ - x₁ )² + ( y₂ - y₁ )²

Given data ,

Let the first point be P = P ( -8 , -9 )

Let the second point be Q = Q ( -4 , -10 )

Now , Distance D = √ ( x₂ - x₁ )² + ( y₂ - y₁ )²

D = √ ( -8 + 4 )² + ( -9 + 10 )²

On simplifying , we get

D = √ ( 4 )² + ( 1 )²

D = √17 units

And , 1 unit = 1 mile

So , √17 units = 4.12 miles

Hence , the distance between Jose's house and the store is √17 miles, or about 4.12 miles

To learn more about distance between 2 points click :

https://brainly.com/question/18234495

#SPJ2

Find the SURFACE AREA of the shape below.

Answers

Answer:

292 CM

Step-by-step explanation:

8x7 = 56 (2 such sides)

6x8 = 48 (2 such sides)

7x6 = 42 (2 such sides)

56(2) + 48(2) + 42(2)=

292

A second function h is defined by h(x) = -3x + 8,
Select the correct phrase in the drop-down menus below to complete the sentence.

Answers

The second function is a linear function

The second function has a slope of -3 and a y-intercept of 8

How to interpret the function?

The function is given as:

h(x) = -3x + 8

The above function is a linear function.

A linear function is represented as:

y = mx + b

Where:

m represents the slope and b represents the y-intercept

By comparison, we have:

m = -3 and b = 8

Hence, the second function has a slope of -3 and a y-intercept of 8

Read more about linear functions at:

https://brainly.com/question/14323743

The dot plot shows the mass, in grams, of several substances in an experiment.





How many substances has their mass recorded during the experiment?

Enter the answer in the box.


substances
A number line ranging from 60 to 68 with four dots over 64, one dot over 65, two dots over 66, two dots over 67, and four dots over 68.

Answers

Answer:

The answer is 13. Just count the dots.

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:13

Step-by-step explanation:

bc i said so

Write the standard form equation of each circle.

Center: (-11, -8) Radius: 4

Center: (-6, -15) Radius: square root of 5

Answers

Answer:

(x+11)^2 + (y+8)^2 = 4^2/16

(x+6)^2 + (y+15)^2 = 5

Step-by-step explanation:

the standard equation of a circle is

(x-h)^2 + (y-k)^2 = r^2 where (h,k) is the center and r is the radius

in the first equation -11 is h and -8 is k

so (x+11)^2 because when you subtract a negative the double negative creates a positive and that’s the same for (y+8)^2

so (x+11)^2 + (y+8)^2 = 4^2 or 16

in the second equations -6 is h and -15 is k

and the double negative is also effective in this equation so (x+6)^2 and (y+15)^2 therefore, (x+6)^2 + (y+15)^2 = 5 (the square root of 5 squared is just 5)

hope this helps :)

Question 9 need help with

Answers

hi!
the slope is 5/11.

the slope formula is (y2-y1)/(x2-x1). we can make (-14,10) the first pair of points and (-3,15) the second.

plug in those values into the slope formula.

(y2-y1)/(x2-x1) = (15-10)/(-3-14) = 5/11.

and there you have it : 5/11 as your answer! hope this helps :)

Thell me the answer 5x=25 what is x

Answers

Answer:

5x=25
25/5=5
Therefor x =5

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

x=5

Step-by-step explanation:

5x=25

Divide the 5 on both sides.

and you're left with x=5.

PLEASE HELP ME WITH THE BOTTOM TWO OMG

Answers

Answer:

Standard Deviation, σ: 8.9580641647762

Step-by-step explanation:

i used a calc for the first one

Find P(A') given that P(A) = 0.05

Answers

Answer:

0.95

Step-by-step explanation:

P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.05 = 0.95

What is the area of the polygon?

Answers

Answer:

The answer is 34 m^2

Step-by-step explanation:

Well, we can divide the Polygon into pieces and solve the area for each piece.

There will be a rectangle and a trapezoid.

Area of Rectangle: Area = Length * Width

Area = Length * Width

Area = 6 m * 3 m = 18 m^2

Area of a Trapezoid: Area = [tex]\frac{h*(b1+b2)}{2}[/tex]

[tex]A=\frac{h*(b1+b2)}{2}\\A=\frac{4*(6+2)}{2}\\A=\frac{4*8}{2} \\A=\frac{32}{2} \\A=16 m^2[/tex]

Total Area = 16 m^2 + 18 m^2 = 34 m^2

When m = 2 and p = one-fourth, j = 32. if j varies directly with m and inversely with p, what is the constant of variation? 4 16 64 256

Answers

Answer:

the constant of the variation is 4

Answer:

a. 4

Step-by-step explanation:

did it

The dance committee hired DJ Emanuel for the fall
dance. DJ Emanuel charges $I25 per hour plus $55 for
an assistant. The committee wants to keep the total
cost under $600. What is the maximum number of
hours that DJ Emanuel can play at the dance?

I need the inequality, inequality answer, final answer

Answers

Answer:

Inequality:  125x + 55 < 600

Solution of inequality: x < 4.36

Final answer: 4 hours

Step-by-step explanation:

Let the number of hours be x.

1 hour costs $125.

2 hours cost $125 × 2

3 hours cost $125 × 3

x hours cost $125 × x or simple 125x.

The assistant costs $55.

The total cost is 125x + 55.

The cost must be under $600, so

125x + 55 < 600

Subtract 55 from both sides.

125x < 545

Divide both sides by 125.

x < 4.36

In theory he can be hired for any amount of hours under 4.36 hours, but he probably works only full hours, so you need to round down to 4 hours.

4 hours

on eduardo workbench are the following paint cans.
3 cans of red paint
5 cans of blue paint
8 cans of green paint
4 cans of yellow
eduardo will randomly choose one can of paint. what is the probability that he will choose a can of red paint or can of blue paint.

Answers

Answer:

likely to chose blue and unlikely to chose red

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

8/20

Step-by-step explanation:

P(R)orP(B)=P(R)+P(B)

=3/20+5/20

=8/20

place a check mark in the box next to each set of lengths that could be the sides of a triangle. Select all that apply

Answers

Answer:

This question has no content for me to answer, Iwant the points so I will be taking them anyway Thankyou. Also may I please have brainliest on the only 2 questions you asked.

Step-by-step explanation:

the answer is C. triangle

Answer:

in future please attach photo of question aswell :]

Step-by-step explanation:

unfortunately you haven't provided the neccasary context to answer. with no idea what the boxes might be or what the triangles look like i cannot give an educated response.

I need help on 12&14 please!! Even if you can only answer one

Answers

Answer:

Question 12

Luisa's annual contributions:

Group Med = 25% of $12,988
(as employer pays 75%)Dental = $980Vision = $324

25% of $12,988

= 0.25 × $12,988

= $3,247

(a)  Total annual contribution:

= Group Med + Dental + Vision

= $3,247 + $980 + $324

= $4,551

(b) Bi weekly deduction:

= $4,551 ÷ 365 × 14

= $174.56

OR

= $4,551 ÷ 52 × 2

= $175.04

**It depends how you calculate biweekly - if you divide the annual amount by 365 days then multiply by 14, OR if you divide the annual amount by 52 weeks then multiply by 2**

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Question 13

Boris' annual contributions:

HMO = 10% of $8,190
(as employer pays 90%)Dental = 50% of $662Vision = 50% of $288

HOM - 10% of $8,190:

= 0.1 × $8,190

= $819

Dental - 50% of $662:

= 0.5 × $662

= $331

Vision - 50% of $288:

= 0.5 × $288

= $144

Total annual contribution:

= HMO + Dental + Vision

= $819 + $331 + $144

= $1,294

Weekly deduction:

= $1,294 ÷ 365 × 7

= $24.82

OR

= $1,294 ÷ 52

= $24.88

**It depends how you calculate weekly - if you divide the annual amount by 365 days then multiply by 7, OR if you divide the annual amount by 52 weeks**

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Question 14

Annual contributions:

PPO = $12,640Dental = $866Vision = $444

Total annual contribution:

= $12,640 + $866 + $444

= $13,950

Quarterly payments:

= $13,950 ÷ 4

= $3,487.50

Isabella notices that when she doesn't study for a test, on average she makes a 45. Isabella also realizes that for every hour
she studies, on average she scores an additional 7 points. Which of the following represents G, her average test score when
she studies for h hours?
OA 7+45h=G
OB. 7-45h= G
OC 45 - 7h=G
OD. 45 + 7h= G

Answers

Answer: D

Her test score is higher PER every hour she studies.

The volume of a hemisphere that has a radius of 8centimeter to the nearest tenth.



Answers

[tex]\textit{volume of a hemisphere}\\\\ V=\cfrac{1}{2}\cdot \cfrac{4\pi r^3}{3}~~ \begin{cases} r=radius\\[-0.5em] \hrulefill\\ r=8 \end{cases}\implies \begin{array}{llll} V-\cfrac{1}{2}\cdot \cfrac{4\pi (8)^3}{3}\implies V=\cfrac{1024\pi }{3} \\\\\\ V\approx 1072.3 \end{array}[/tex]

The segments are tangents to the circle. Find the perimeter of JLNQ.

Answers

Answer: 28

Step-by-step explanation:

Which net represents this solid figure?
Please help, so that I'll get a 100%​

Answers

the one u originally clicked (in yellow) is correct. all sides match perfectly with the figure.

Kim bought 2 dozen chairs for a party. She placed them in 8 groups. How many chairs were in each group?

Answers

Answer: 3

Step-by-step explanation: 2 dozens is 24.

Divide 24 by 8 =3

madi sells 23oz cans of jelly beans for 63 cents and 15oz cans for 45 cents. assume that the price varies linearly with the number of ounces.

Answers

7373 siege 683 an end 77) 7 Hbe due 78738 7

What is the sum of the complex numbers 2 + 4i,and 3 − 7i, where i=-1

Answers

Answer:

5 - 3i.

Step-by-step explanation:

2 + 4i + 3 - 7i       Bring like terms together:

= 2 + 3 + 4i - 71

= 5 - 3i.

Answer:

5 - 3i

Step-by-step explanation:

Real numbers are a subset of the complex numbers. Therefore it would only make sense that the complex numbers follow the same rule of additivity and multiplication as real numbers do:

[tex](2+4i)+(3-7i)=2+3+4i-7i=5-3i[/tex]

Find the surface area of a box that is 14 inches deep, and 7 inches tall and 7 inches wide

Answers

Answer:

The answer is 686 inches

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

The surface area of a box is 686 inches

Step-by-step explanation:

You can do it by muliplying;

[tex]14*7*7=686[/tex]

Give the guy about brainliest!

I already have too many TvT

Hope this helped! :^)

✉️Message me if you have any more questions!✉️

- ✨7272033Alt

Submitted on 4/14/2022 at 6:37 PM

(To avoid plagarism, by users whom decide to copy.)

Can you answer these for me?

Answers

Answer:

27, 5, 2

Step-by-step explanation:

This is really simple lol.

a. Simple Math terms

43 subtracted by 16 equals 27.

Let's do 46-16 which equals 30.

Subtract 3 from 30.

43-16=27.

a. Mathematical

43-16 = . . .

13 - 6 = 7

Subtract the 1 from 4.

3 - 1 = 2

43-16=27.

b. Simple Math terms

67-14=53

7-4 = 3

6-1=5

c. Simple Math terms

6-4=2

8 + 40 + 200 + ... + 15625000
Sum of a finite geometric series:
Sn=a1-a1r / 1-r

Answers

Answer:

19,531,248

Step-by-step explanation:

General form of a geometric sequence:  [tex]a_n=ar^{n-1}[/tex]

(where [tex]a[/tex] is the first term and [tex]r[/tex] is the common difference)

Given geometric series:   8 + 40 + 200 + ... + 15625000

[tex]\implies a_1=8[/tex]

[tex]\implies a_2=40[/tex]

[tex]\implies a_3=200[/tex]

To find the common ratio [tex]r[/tex], divide consecutive terms:

[tex]\implies r=\dfrac{a_2}{a_1}=\dfrac{40}{8}=5[/tex]

Therefore:

[tex]\implies a_n=8(5)^{n-1}[/tex]

To find n when [tex]a_n=15625000[/tex] :

[tex]\implies 8(5)^{n-1}=15625000[/tex]

[tex]\implies (5)^{n-1}=1953125[/tex]

[tex]\implies \ln (5)^{n-1}=\ln1953125[/tex]

[tex]\implies (n-1)\ln 5=\ln1953125[/tex]

[tex]\implies n=\dfrac{\ln1953125}{\ln5}+1[/tex]

[tex]\implies n=10[/tex]

Sum of the first n terms of a geometric series:

[tex]S_n=\dfrac{a(1-r^n)}{1-r}[/tex]

Therefore, sum of the first 10 terms:

[tex]\implies S_{10}=\dfrac{8(1-5^{10})}{1-5}[/tex]

[tex]\implies S_{10}=19,531,248[/tex]

Please help me with this. I'm not that smart​

Answers

Answer:

1.fireworks conjunction

2.michelle disjunction

3. Watch conditional

Step-by-step explanation:

Michelle orders soup, or she orders salad; an example of disjunction combining 2 sentences with the word or.

The fireworks were loud and colorful; An example of conjunction which combines two statements with the word And

If the watch is broken, then it it showing the wrong time; An example of a statement with if then scenario.

Write an equation of the line with a slope of 0 and y -intercept of 5 .

y =

Answers

Answer:

y = 5

Step-by-step explanation:

The equation for a line is y = mx + b, with m representing slope and b representing y-intercept.

This yields an equation y = 0x + 5, or just y = 5 when simplifying.

Other Questions
At the molecular level, ______ is the process by which a gene's information is used to produce a polypeptide or functional RNA molecule. The radiusof a sphere is 6 units.Which expression represents the volume of the sphere,in cubic units?O 7(6)2 57(6)30 -(12)25a(12)3 Which sentence in the excerpt best supports the idea that a government has an obligation to provide certain things to its citizens? excerpt from message to the congress in special session, july 4, 1861 by abraham lincoln president lincoln gave this speech to congress to gain support and funding for the civil war after southern states had withdrawn from the union. this is essentially a people's contest. on the side of the union, it is a struggle for maintaining in the world, that form, and substance of government, whose leading object is, to elevate the condition of mento lift artificial weights from all shouldersto clear the paths of laudable pursuit for allto afford all, an unfettered start, and a fair chance, in the race of life. i am most happy to believe that the plain people understand and appreciate this. it is worthy of note, that while in this, the government's hour of trial, large numbers of those in the army and navy, who have been favored with the offices, have resigned, and proved false to the hand which had pampered them, not one common soldier, or common sailor is known to have deserted his flag. great honor is due to those officers who remain true, despite the example of their treacherous associates; but the greatest honor, and most important fact of all, is the unanimous firmness of the common soldiers, and common sailors. to the last man, so far as known, they have successfully resisted the traitorous efforts of those, whose commands, but an hour before, they obeyed as absolute law. this is the patriotic instinct of the plain people. they understand, without an argument, that destroying the government, which was made by washington, means no good to them. our popular government has often been called an experiment. two points in it, our people have already settledthe successful establishing, and the successful administering of it. one still remainsits successful maintenance against a formidable [internal] attempt to overthrow it. it is now for them to demonstrate to the world, that those how are families affected by HIV and aids A customer spent no more than $500 for a televisionand a mounting kit. The customer expected to pay aminimum of $300 for the television but actually paidat least $75 more than that. What is the maximumamount, in dollars, the customer could have spent forthe mounting kit after purchasing the television?(Disregard the $ sign when gridding your answer. Can I get some help with this? Which choice represents the expression below as a single exponentialexpression?4^5 42 A. 410 . 410O B. 410O c. 43O D. 47 A bicycle manufacturing company makes a particular type of bike. Each child bike requires 4 hours to build and 4 hours to test. Each adult bike requires 6 hours to build and 4 hours to test. With the number of workers, the company is able to have up to 120 hours of building time and 100 hours of testing time for a week. If c represents child bikes and a represents adult bikes, can the company build 5 child bikes and 15 adult bikes in a week. No, because the bike order does not meet the restrictions of 4c + 6a 120 and 4c + 4a 100 No, because the bike order does not meet the restrictions of 4c + 4a 120 and 6c + 4a 100 Yes, because the bike order meets the restrictions of 4c + 6a 120 and 4c + 4a 100 Yes, because the bike order meets the restrictions of 4c + 4a 120 and 6c + 4a 100 how can we reduce wildfires ( 10 sentences) Ethnocentrism causes which of the following communication barriers? a. ethnocentrism can cause people to share too much personal information. b. ethnocentrism causes people to develop negative attitudes about others. c. ethnocentrism can lead people to use the wrong language when communicating. d. all of the above are communication barriers caused by ethnocentrism. please select the best answer from the choices provided a b c d What advice was elie given to pass the selection process. HELPP me please I beg Which of the following equations are equivalent? Select three options.2 + x = 5x + 1 = 49 + x = 6x + (negative 4) = 7Negative 5 + x = negative 2 In Beaker A, 2.0 grams of zinc powder is mixed with 1.0 M hydrochloric acid. In Beaker B, 2.0 grams of zinc powder is mixed with 6.0 M hydrochloric acid. In which beaker will the reaction occur faster why did ohio enforce a law that if they lose their pet tiger they must call the authorities within an hour Multiply and simplify the product. (3 5i)(2 4i) select the product. 14 2i 14 22i 15 22i 26 2i A machine operator can program machine #1 Which is the best prediction of the test score for someone who completes 14 assignments? 20 70 50 100 Find the domain and range. NEED HELP ASAP 20POINTSS